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Finance Minister flags looming revenue shortfall amid tax slump

In the first half of this year, the government collected Rp 1.2 quadrillion, the lowest mid-year figure in three years and 9 percent below the same period in 2024.

Ruth Dea Juwita (The Jakarta Post)
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Wed, July 2, 2025 Published on Jul. 2, 2025 Published on 2025-07-02T12:01:23+07:00

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Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati prepares devices she is about to use for the state budget presentation before the press in the Ministry's headquarter in Jakarta, on Jan. 2, 2024. Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati prepares devices she is about to use for the state budget presentation before the press in the Ministry's headquarter in Jakarta, on Jan. 2, 2024. (The Jakarta Post/Deni Ghifari)

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tate revenue is likely to fall short of the target set in the 2025 state budget, Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said on Tuesday, citing weaker tax receipts, declining commodity prices and recent policy changes as key factors weighing on collections.

According to the Finance Ministry’s updated projections, total state revenue is now expected to reach only Rp 2.86 quadrillion (US$176.5 billion), or around Rp 139.6 trillion below the official target of Rp 3 quadrillion.

“We’re seeing real pressure on revenues. If you look at first-half collections over the past three years, this year is clearly the weakest,” Sri Mulyani told lawmakers during a hearing with the House of Representatives’ Budget Committee.

Tax revenue, which makes up the bulk of state income, is projected to fall short by about Rp 82 trillion, reaching just 94.9 percent of the Rp 2.71 quadrillion target. 

On the spending side, the government expects to disburse Rp 3.53 quadrillion, or about 97.4 percent of its Rp 3.62 quadrillion allocation.

As a result, the budget deficit is now projected to widen to Rp 663 trillion or 2.78 percent of the country’s gross domestic products (GDP), up from the original forecast of 2.53 percent, but still below the country’s legal limit of 3 percent.

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